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Inter Escaldes vs Penya

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026 Estadi Comunal, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Hernandez D.
54'
Garcia J.
54'
Sub
Munoz Martinez P. D. In: Lopez Herrera D.
Out: Munoz Martinez P. D.

AI Match Summary

Inter Escaldes in this Primera Divisió 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Escaldes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Inter Escaldes
30%
Draws
9%
Penya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Escaldes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter Escaldes lately — more wins on the board than Penya.
  • Win probability leans Inter Escaldes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Divisió 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Inter Escaldes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Inter Escaldes Clean Sheet 68%
Penya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Escaldes Penya
Matches Played 38 28
Wins 25 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.03 0.79
Goals Conceded 1 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Primera Divisió
Inter Escaldes vs Penya
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Inter Escaldes
0:1
Dec 17, 2025 Primera Divisió
Inter Escaldes vs Penya
4:0
May 16, 2025 Primera Divisió
Inter Escaldes vs Penya
3:2
Feb 9, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Inter Escaldes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Escaldes Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez Herrera D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chouaib F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Penya Compare

Top Goalscorer Basulto M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Escaldes 95 / 100
Penya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Escaldes Penya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Escaldes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter Escaldes scored in 95% of their last 38 outings.

Recent resilience: Inter Escaldes stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Penya conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Inter Escaldes VS Penya
1.63 Goals Scored 0.8
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Escaldes

(Home)
20 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
FC Rangers
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
09 Sept
Inter Escaldes
2 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
27 Aug
Inter Escaldes
1 : 0
Drita
Page 1 of 8

Penya

(Away)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)