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Inter Escaldes vs Penya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió Estadi Comunal, Andorra la Vella
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter Escaldes host Penya in the Primera Divisió. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Penya have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Inter Escaldes have conceded 1.23 and scored 1.94. Past meetings favor Inter Escaldes slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.13) point toward Inter Escaldes. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Inter Escaldes
30%
Draws
12%
Penya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Escaldes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter Escaldes lately — more wins on the board than Penya.
  • Win probability leans Inter Escaldes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inter Escaldes have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Inter Escaldes Clean Sheet 20%
Penya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Escaldes Penya
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.94 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Primera Divisió
Inter Escaldes vs Penya
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Inter Escaldes
0:1
Dec 17, 2025 Primera Divisió
Inter Escaldes vs Penya
4:0
May 16, 2025 Primera Divisió
Inter Escaldes vs Penya
3:2
Feb 9, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Inter Escaldes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Escaldes 85 / 100
Penya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Escaldes Penya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Escaldes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Escaldes found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Penya conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Inter Escaldes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter Escaldes VS Penya
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Escaldes

(Home)
03 Oct
Rodez
2 : 0
Inter Escaldes
20 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
FC Rangers
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
09 Sept
Inter Escaldes
2 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
Page 1 of 7

Penya

(Away)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santa Coloma 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Inter Escaldes 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Atletic Escaldes 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
4 Ordino 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
5 FC Rangers 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
6 Esperanca 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
7 Penya 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
8 Casa de Portugal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Carroi 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
10 Sporting Escaldes 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)