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Inter Ibiza vs Constancia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Mateo A.
50' Event
Roque A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Inter Ibiza and Constancia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Ibiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Inter Ibiza
15%
Draws
85%
Constancia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Inter Ibiza haven't matched Constancia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Constancia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Inter Ibiza Clean Sheet 10%
Constancia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Ibiza Constancia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Inter Ibiza
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Constancia
2:0
Mar 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Inter Ibiza
2:1
Nov 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Constancia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roque A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Constancia Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Ibiza 10 / 100
Constancia 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Ibiza Constancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Ibiza found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Constancia has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Constancia has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter Ibiza VS Constancia
0.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Ibiza

(Home)
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3
Llosetense
20 Sept
Porreres
2 : 1
Inter Ibiza
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2
Mercadal
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

Constancia

(Away)
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)