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Inter Lions vs Hills United

Australia Australia

NSW League One Majors Bay Reserve, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Khoury J.
45' Event
Khoury J.
52' Event
Hately M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Inter Lions
15%
Draws
50%
Hills United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hills United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Lions haven't matched Hills United's recent run of results.
  • Hills United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Inter Lions Clean Sheet 11%
Hills United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Lions Hills United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.3 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 NSW League One
Inter Lions vs Hills United
2:2
Mar 28, 2026 NSW League One
Hills United vs Inter Lions
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 NSW League One
Inter Lions vs Hills United
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 NSW League One
Hills United vs Inter Lions
2:0
Jun 3, 2023 NSW League One
Hills United vs Inter Lions
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Khoury J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hills United Compare

Top Goalscorer Hately M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mallia B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Lions 10 / 100
Hills United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Lions Hills United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hills United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hills United has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Inter Lions found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Inter Lions has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter Lions VS Hills United
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Lions

(Home)
29 Aug
Inter Lions
1 : 2
Hakoah Sydney
22 Aug
Dulwich Hill
0 : 2
Inter Lions
15 Aug
Inter Lions
2 : 0
Bankstown City Lions FC
07 Aug
Blacktown Spartans
4 : 0
Inter Lions
02 Aug
Central Coast U23
1 : 4
Inter Lions
Page 1 of 6

Hills United

(Away)
29 Aug
Hills United
8 : 0
Central Coast U23
22 Aug
Hills United
3 : 1
Rydalmere Lions
15 Aug
Western City Rangers
1 : 2
Hills United
08 Aug
Hills United
4 : 0
Canterbury Bankstown FC
01 Aug
Hills United
2 : 2
Bankstown City Lions FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)