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Inter Manacor vs Mercadal

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Cursach X.

AI Match Summary

Mercadal in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mercadal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Inter Manacor
15%
Draws
85%
Mercadal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mercadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mercadal have won more games recently than Inter Manacor.
  • Model gives Mercadal a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Mercadal have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Inter Manacor Clean Sheet 20%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Manacor Mercadal
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 1 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.57 0.88
Goals Conceded 3.17 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Manacor vs Mercadal
0:1
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Inter Manacor
3:0
Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Inter Manacor
2:0
Nov 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Manacor vs Mercadal
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Manacor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Mercadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Cursach X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Manacor 10 / 100
Mercadal 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Manacor Mercadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mercadal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Mercadal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Inter Manacor's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mercadal has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mercadal
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Manacor

(Home)
12 May
Felanitx
5 : 0
Inter Manacor
05 May
Inter Manacor
0 : 2
Platges de Calvia
01 May
Llosetense
1 : 0
Inter Manacor
27 Apr
Inter Manacor
1 : 7
Alcudia
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1
Inter Manacor
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Mercadal

(Away)
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Mallorca B
7 : 0
Mercadal
29 Apr
Llosetense
6 : 1
Mercadal
26 Apr
Mercadal
1 : 0
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0
Mercadal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 34 27 6 1 73:15 87
2 Mallorca B 34 22 8 4 72:16 74
3 UD Poblense 34 22 8 4 63:15 74
4 Platges de Calvia 34 18 9 7 47:22 63
5 Manacor 34 19 5 10 59:40 62
6 Santanyi 34 16 8 10 46:23 56
7 Constancia 34 15 8 11 44:32 53
8 Alcudia 34 14 7 13 54:44 49
9 Llosetense 34 14 7 13 37:38 49
10 Mercadal 34 12 9 13 33:37 45
11 Binissalem 34 12 7 15 35:38 43
12 Portmany 34 11 9 14 38:38 42
13 Collerense 34 10 8 16 39:55 38
14 Felanitx 34 10 5 19 37:53 35
15 Alaior 34 8 7 19 27:51 31
16 Arenal 34 6 8 20 28:59 26
17 Soller 34 4 5 25 26:98 17
18 Inter Manacor 34 2 4 28 22:106 10
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 (Play Offs)