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Stadium Background

Inter Miami II vs New York City II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Suchecki J.
(Penalty)
16' Event
Saja M.
Assist: Vorenkamp T.
28' Event
Vorenkamp T.
Assist: Rey D.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Inter Miami II and New York City II finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Miami II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Inter Miami II
15%
Draws
64%
New York City II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New York City II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • New York City II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives New York City II a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Inter Miami II Clean Sheet 10%
New York City II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Miami II New York City II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 26 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Inter Miami II vs New York City II
4:2
May 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Inter Miami II vs New York City II
4:2
Jun 8, 2024 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs Inter Miami II
3:0
Mar 17, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Inter Miami II vs New York City II
3:2
Sep 24, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Inter Miami II vs New York City II
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Miami II Compare

Top Goalscorer Saja M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vorenkamp T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

New York City II Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Miami II 10 / 100
New York City II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Miami II New York City II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York City II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: New York City II conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Inter Miami II scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Inter Miami II remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter Miami II VS New York City II
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Miami II

(Home)
20 Sept
CT United FC
7 : 2
Inter Miami II
13 Sept
Inter Miami II
1 : 4
Huntsville City
04 Sept
Inter Miami II
1 : 4
Orlando City B
01 Sept
Inter Miami II
4 : 2
New York City II
28 Aug
Inter Miami II
1 : 2
Atlanta United 2
Page 1 of 6

New York City II

(Away)
20 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2
New York City II
13 Sept
New York City II
1 : 0
CT United FC
08 Sept
New York City II
4 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
01 Sept
Inter Miami II
4 : 2
New York City II
28 Aug
Toronto FC II
2 : 0
New York City II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)