Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire

USA USA

MLS Nu Stadium, Miami, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Rios R.
Own Goal
27' Event
Suarez L.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Suarez L.
Assist: Berterame G.

AI Match Summary

Inter Miami in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Miami.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Inter Miami
35%
Draws
16%
Chicago Fire
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Inter Miami

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Miami haven't matched Chicago Fire's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Inter Miami taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43.2%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 68%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Miami Chicago Fire
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.31 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami
1:1
Jul 22, 2026 MLS
Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire
3:2
Sep 30, 2025 MLS
Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire
3:5
Apr 13, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Miami Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Plambeck P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Chicago Fire Compare

Top Goalscorer Dithejane P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Miami 95 / 100
Chicago Fire 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Miami Chicago Fire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Miami Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Miami scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Inter Miami has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chicago Fire's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter Miami VS Chicago Fire
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Miami

(Home)
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Atlanta United
29 Aug
Inter Miami
7 : 1
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

Chicago Fire

(Away)
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4
Chicago Fire
29 Aug
Seattle Sounders
2 : 2
Chicago Fire
26 Aug
Monterrey
2 : 1
Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 24 14 4 6 53:23 46
2 Houston Dynamo 25 13 4 8 32:28 43
3 FC Dallas 25 12 7 6 49:42 43
4 San Jose Earthquakes 25 12 5 8 44:36 41
5 St. Louis City 25 11 8 6 42:35 41
6 Los Angeles FC 26 11 7 8 41:27 40
7 Colorado Rapids 25 11 2 12 33:32 35
8 Portland Timbers 25 9 5 11 47:47 32
9 San Diego FC 25 8 6 11 42:42 30
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 26 7 9 10 31:40 30
11 Real Salt Lake 24 8 5 11 37:39 29
12 Minnesota United 25 7 8 10 37:43 29
13 Austin FC 25 7 8 10 32:44 29
14 Seattle Sounders 23 7 7 9 25:30 28
15 Sporting Kansas City 24 5 3 16 26:59 18
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 25 16 6 3 50:21 54
2 Inter Miami 25 12 9 4 61:46 45
3 New England Revolution 25 13 4 8 41:31 43
4 Charlotte FC 25 11 7 7 45:36 40
5 Chicago Fire 24 11 6 7 45:35 39
6 Orlando City 25 10 4 11 44:56 34
7 Philadelphia Union 25 9 6 10 46:39 33
8 New York City 25 8 8 9 39:33 32
9 FC Cincinnati 24 8 8 8 52:59 32
10 New York Red Bulls 25 8 6 11 33:48 30
11 DC United 24 6 11 7 30:37 29
12 Toronto FC 25 6 11 8 38:46 29
13 Columbus Crew 25 6 5 14 35:42 23
14 Atlanta United 25 6 5 14 29:43 23
15 CF Montreal 25 5 6 14 31:51 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)