Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire

USA USA

MLS Nu Stadium, Miami, FL
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter Miami host Chicago Fire in the MLS. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Inter Miami at 2.75 goals for, 1.75 against; Chicago Fire at 2.25 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Inter Miami have won 2 to Chicago Fire's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 30, 2025, ending 3:5. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 2.00, favoring Inter Miami. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Inter Miami
17%
Draws
13%
Chicago Fire
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Inter Miami

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Chicago Fire haven't matched Inter Miami's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Inter Miami taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 10%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Miami Chicago Fire
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 20 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 MLS
Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire
3:5
Apr 13, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami
1:4
Jul 20, 2024 MLS
Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire
2:1
Oct 5, 2023 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Miami 65 / 100
Chicago Fire 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Miami Chicago Fire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Miami scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Chicago Fire has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Inter Miami stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Miami VS Chicago Fire
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Miami

(Home)
24 May
Inter Miami
6 : 4
Philadelphia Union
17 May
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Portland Timbers
13 May
FC Cincinnati
3 : 5
Inter Miami
09 May
Toronto FC
2 : 4
Inter Miami
02 May
Inter Miami
3 : 4
Orlando City
Page 1 of 7

Chicago Fire

(Away)
24 May
Chicago Fire
2 : 1
Toronto FC
16 May
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Chicago Fire
13 May
DC United
1 : 3
Chicago Fire
09 May
Chicago Fire
1 : 3
New York Red Bulls
03 May
Chicago Fire
2 : 3
FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)