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Inter Miami vs Club Leon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Nu Stadium, Miami, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Segovia T.
33'
Sub
Micael In: Caicedo F.
Out: Micael
42' Event
Pinter D.
Assist: Fray I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Inter Miami
30%
Draws
31%
Club Leon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Miami

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Club Leon come out ahead of Inter Miami on wins alone.
  • Inter Miami are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Club Leon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Club Leon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 19%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Miami Club Leon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 9 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.52 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Leagues Cup
Inter Miami vs Club Leon
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Miami Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinter D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bright Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Club Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Arcila D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dominguez Chonteco J. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Miami 85 / 100
Club Leon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Miami Club Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Miami Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter Miami scored in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Club Leon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Inter Miami has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter Miami VS Club Leon
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Miami

(Home)
17 Oct
Atlanta United
1 : 3
Inter Miami
14 Oct
Inter Miami
2 : 0
New York City
10 Oct
Inter Miami
4 : 0
DC United
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Inter Miami
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
San Diego FC
Page 1 of 6

Club Leon

(Away)
18 Oct
Club Leon
3 : 5
Club America
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)