Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Nouakchott vs Kaedi

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Diop A. A. A.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Coulibaly M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Inter Nouakchott and Kaedi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Inter Nouakchott
15%
Draws
59%
Kaedi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaedi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaedi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kaedi a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Inter Nouakchott Clean Sheet 16%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Nouakchott Kaedi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Kaedi
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Inter Nouakchott
1:0
Feb 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Kaedi
3:2
Sep 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Inter Nouakchott
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Inter Nouakchott
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Nouakchott Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kaedi Compare

Top Goalscorer Coulibaly M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Nouakchott 23 / 100
Kaedi 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Nouakchott Kaedi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaedi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaedi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Inter Nouakchott scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Inter Nouakchott stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Nouakchott VS Kaedi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Nouakchott

(Home)
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
11 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
06 May
Inter Nouakchott
2 : 1
SNIM
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
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Kaedi

(Away)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)