Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Palmira W vs Fortaleza W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Francisco Rivera Escobar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter Palmira W play Fortaleza W in the Liga Women. Inter Palmira W are favorites here. Recently, Inter Palmira W averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Fortaleza W averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Inter Palmira W won 3, Fortaleza W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 23, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Inter Palmira W and 0.69 for Fortaleza W. This points to a Inter Palmira W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Inter Palmira W
21%
Draws
21%
Fortaleza W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Inter Palmira W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Inter Palmira W picked up more points recently compared to Fortaleza W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Inter Palmira W Clean Sheet 28%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Palmira W Fortaleza W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.06 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Liga Women
Inter Palmira W vs Fortaleza W
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Women
Inter Palmira W vs Fortaleza W
5:3
Mar 31, 2022 Liga Women
Inter Palmira W vs Fortaleza W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Palmira W Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Fortaleza W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Palmira W 58 / 100
Fortaleza W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Palmira W Fortaleza W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Palmira W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Inter Palmira W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Inter Palmira W attacking → ← attacking Fortaleza W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Palmira W scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Fortaleza W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Inter Palmira W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Fortaleza W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 24
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atl. Nacional W13110225:533
2Dep. Cali W13102129:632
3America de Cali W1392222:629
4Millonarios W1384128:728
5Indep. Santa Fe W1374223:925
6Inter Bogotá W1371519:1422
7Inter Palmira W1363412:1521
8Ind. Medellin W1361620:1519
9Orsomarso W1336413:1315
10Fortaleza W133469:1813
11Llaneros W133469:2113
12Junior W1325611:2111
13Bucaramanga W132299:338
14Once Caldas W131485:197
15Real Santander W130763:197
16Dep. Pasto W1303108:243