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Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Chapulineros

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Inter Playa Del Carmen Logo

Inter Playa Del Carmen

2 - 1
FT
Chapulineros Logo

Chapulineros

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Alonso L.
34' Event
Alonso L.
81' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Inter Playa Del Carmen in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Playa Del Carmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Inter Playa Del Carmen
35%
Draws
39%
Chapulineros
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chapulineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Inter Playa Del Carmen have won more games recently than Chapulineros.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Inter Playa Del Carmen Clean Sheet 20%
Chapulineros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Playa Del Carmen Chapulineros
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.29 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera Premier
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Chapulineros
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Chapulineros
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Chapulineros vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Playa Del Carmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chapulineros Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Playa Del Carmen 36 / 100
Chapulineros 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Playa Del Carmen Chapulineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapulineros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Playa Del Carmen found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Chapulineros conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Inter Playa Del Carmen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Playa Del Carmen VS Chapulineros
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Playa Del Carmen

(Home)
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Chapulineros
12 Sept
Tapachula
2 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
08 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 4
Pioneros
26 Apr
Apodaca
3 : 1
Inter Playa Del Carmen
23 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Apodaca
Page 1 of 7

Chapulineros

(Away)
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Chapulineros
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Celaya
05 Sept
Racing de Veracruz
5 : 1
Chapulineros
29 Aug
Chapulineros
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
11 Apr
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Pioneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)