Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter San Carlos vs Carmelita

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Nunez A.
27' Event
Villegas Sequeira C.
85' Event
Lewis B.

AI Match Summary

Inter San Carlos in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Inter San Carlos
20%
Draws
40%
Carmelita
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter San Carlos lately — more wins on the board than Carmelita.
  • Win probability leans Carmelita's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Inter San Carlos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Inter San Carlos, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Inter San Carlos Clean Sheet 18%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter San Carlos Carmelita
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 18 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Inter San Carlos vs Carmelita
3:2
Nov 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Inter San Carlos
1:2
Aug 27, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
Carmelita vs Inter San Carlos
2:0
Aug 14, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
Inter San Carlos vs Carmelita
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Inter San Carlos vs Carmelita
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villegas Sequeira C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Carmelita Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter San Carlos 15 / 100
Carmelita 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter San Carlos Carmelita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carmelita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter San Carlos's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Carmelita let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Inter San Carlos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter San Carlos VS Carmelita
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter San Carlos

(Home)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
12 Sept
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
05 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Inter San Carlos
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Saprissa
Page 1 of 6

Carmelita

(Away)
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0
CS Uruguay
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
07 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 2
Pitbulls
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2
Aserri
25 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 1
Carmelita
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter San Carlos 5
Carmelita 3
FC Moravia 1
Quepos FC 2
ADR Jicaral 1
Cariari Pococi 2
Escorpiones 2
Cofutpa 3
Semi-finals
Inter San Carlos 6
Quepos FC 0
Cariari Pococi 1
Cofutpa 3
Final
Inter San Carlos 5
Cofutpa 2