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Inter San Carlos vs Dep. Upala Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ramos A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between Inter San Carlos and Dep. Upala finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter San Carlos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Inter San Carlos
15%
Draws
0%
Dep. Upala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter San Carlos come out ahead of Dep. Upala on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Inter San Carlos's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Inter San Carlos Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Upala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter San Carlos Dep. Upala
Matches Played 35 26
Wins 21 2
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.51 1.12
Goals Conceded 0.91 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Inter San Carlos vs Dep. Upala
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs Inter San Carlos
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs Inter San Carlos
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Inter San Carlos vs Dep. Upala
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs Inter San Carlos
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dep. Upala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter San Carlos 58 / 100
Dep. Upala 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter San Carlos Dep. Upala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter San Carlos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter San Carlos scored in 86% of their last 35 games.

Dep. Upala has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Difficult form: Dep. Upala registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Inter San Carlos VS Dep. Upala
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter San Carlos

(Home)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
12 Sept
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
05 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Inter San Carlos
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Saprissa
Page 1 of 7

Dep. Upala

(Away)
12 Apr
Dep. Upala
0 : 3
ADR Jicaral
29 Mar
Dep. Upala
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
21 Mar
AD Sarchi
3 : 1
Dep. Upala
15 Mar
Dep. Upala
1 : 2
Quepos FC
12 Mar
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Dep. Upala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)