Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Santa Maria U20 vs Gremio U20

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho U20 Estadio Presidente Vargas
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter Santa Maria U20 play Gremio U20 in the Gaucho U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Inter Santa Maria U20 averaged 0.86 goals scored and 2 conceded. Gremio U20 averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. In past meetings, Inter Santa Maria U20 won 0, Gremio U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Inter Santa Maria U20 and 1.88 for Gremio U20. This points to a Gremio U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Inter Santa Maria U20
20%
Draws
54%
Gremio U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gremio U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Inter Santa Maria U20 picked up more points recently compared to Gremio U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Inter Santa Maria U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Gremio U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Santa Maria U20 Gremio U20
Matches Played 7 45
Wins 1 21
Draws 2 8
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 0.86 1.64
Goals Conceded 2 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gaucho U20
Inter Santa Maria U20 vs Gremio U20
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Santa Maria U20 25 / 100
Gremio U20 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Santa Maria U20 Gremio U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Gremio U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Inter Santa Maria U20 attacking → ← attacking Gremio U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Santa Maria U20 scored in 57% of their last 7 games.

Gremio U20 let in goals in 62% of their last 45 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Inter Santa Maria U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gremio U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 71
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Internacional U20650116:315
2Ypiranga FC U20632112:611
3Novo Hamburgo U20632110:911
4SER Caxias do Sul U2062138:87
5Esportivo Bento Goncalves U2061235:125
6SC Gaucho U2060425:94
7Apafut U2061145:144
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1EC Juventude U20751114:516
2Gremio U20743015:515
3EC Sao Jose (PA) U20731311:810
4Sao Luiz U2073136:810
5SC Ivoti U2073045:79
6Brasil de Farroupilha U2072144:87
7Real SC U2072148:147
8Inter Santa Maria U2071246:145