Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Santa Maria vs Avenida

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Estadio Presidente Vargas, Santa Maria
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Wellisson
28'
Kauan Bizescki
35'
Yuri Mamute

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gaucho matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Inter Santa Maria
44%
Draws
20%
Avenida
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Santa Maria have won more games recently than Avenida.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Inter Santa Maria Clean Sheet 25%
Avenida Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Santa Maria Avenida
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 11 14
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Gaucho
Avenida vs Inter Santa Maria
0:0
Feb 6, 2026 Gaucho
Inter Santa Maria vs Avenida
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Gaucho
Inter Santa Maria vs Avenida
1:0
May 22, 2022 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Avenida
0:1
May 1, 2022 Gaucho 2
Avenida vs Inter Santa Maria
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Santa Maria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Avenida Compare

Top Goalscorer Wellisson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Santa Maria 37 / 100
Avenida 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Santa Maria Avenida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Santa Maria scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Avenida has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Inter Santa Maria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Inter Santa Maria VS Avenida
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Santa Maria

(Home)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
1 : 1
Monsoon
21 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
0 : 1
Guarany de Bage
16 Feb
Guarany de Bage
3 : 2
Inter Santa Maria
09 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Inter Santa Maria
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Avenida

(Away)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Guarany de Bage
1 : 1
Avenida
23 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Avenida
14 Feb
Avenida
1 : 1
Monsoon
09 Feb
Avenida
2 : 1
Guarany de Bage
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