Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Santa Maria vs Guarany de Bage

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Estadio Presidente Vargas, Santa Maria
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Bruno Balotelli In: Jean Martim
Out: Bruno Balotelli
40'
Tairone
45'
Murilo

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho game between Inter Santa Maria and Guarany de Bage finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany de Bage.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Inter Santa Maria
20%
Draws
38%
Guarany de Bage
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inter Santa Maria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter Santa Maria come out ahead of Guarany de Bage on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Inter Santa Maria taking it.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Guarany de Bage here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Inter Santa Maria Clean Sheet 20%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Santa Maria Guarany de Bage
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Gaucho
Inter Santa Maria vs Guarany de Bage
0:1
Feb 16, 2026 Gaucho
Guarany de Bage vs Inter Santa Maria
3:2
Jan 24, 2026 Gaucho
Guarany de Bage vs Inter Santa Maria
1:0
Jul 2, 2023 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Guarany de Bage
1:1
Apr 29, 2023 Gaucho 2
Guarany de Bage vs Inter Santa Maria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Santa Maria Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Guarany de Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Welder
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Santa Maria 42 / 100
Guarany de Bage 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Santa Maria Guarany de Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Santa Maria's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Guarany de Bage let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Inter Santa Maria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter Santa Maria VS Guarany de Bage
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Santa Maria

(Home)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
1 : 1
Monsoon
21 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
0 : 1
Guarany de Bage
16 Feb
Guarany de Bage
3 : 2
Inter Santa Maria
09 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Inter Santa Maria
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Guarany de Bage

(Away)
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1
Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
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