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Inter Santa Maria vs Novo Hamburgo

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Gaucho 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2025 game between Inter Santa Maria and Novo Hamburgo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Inter Santa Maria
39%
Draws
30%
Novo Hamburgo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Novo Hamburgo's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Inter Santa Maria have produced (0.63).
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Inter Santa Maria Clean Sheet 20%
Novo Hamburgo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Santa Maria Novo Hamburgo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Novo Hamburgo
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Gaucho 2
Novo Hamburgo vs Inter Santa Maria
3:2
Jul 20, 2025 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Novo Hamburgo
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Santa Maria 32 / 100
Novo Hamburgo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Santa Maria Novo Hamburgo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter Santa Maria scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Novo Hamburgo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Inter Santa Maria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Santa Maria VS Novo Hamburgo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter Santa Maria2
GE Bage0
Passo Fundo3
Veranopolis4
Aimore3
Lajeadense0
Novo Hamburgo5
Gramadense1
Semi-finals
Inter Santa Maria3
Veranopolis1
Aimore1
Novo Hamburgo3
Final
Inter Santa Maria2
Novo Hamburgo3