Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Santa Maria vs Veranopolis

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Alan Bald
90'
Caique

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Inter Santa Maria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Inter Santa Maria
35%
Draws
45%
Veranopolis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Veranopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Santa Maria haven't matched Veranopolis's recent run of results.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Veranopolis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Inter Santa Maria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Inter Santa Maria here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Inter Santa Maria Clean Sheet 23%
Veranopolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Santa Maria Veranopolis
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.86 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.74 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Veranopolis
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Gaucho 2
Veranopolis vs Inter Santa Maria
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Gaucho 2
Veranopolis vs Inter Santa Maria
0:1
Jul 18, 2024 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Veranopolis
1:0
Jul 15, 2024 Gaucho 2
Veranopolis vs Inter Santa Maria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Santa Maria Compare

Top Goalscorer Alan Bald
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.37

Veranopolis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Santa Maria 33 / 100
Veranopolis 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Santa Maria Veranopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Veranopolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter Santa Maria scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Inter Santa Maria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Veranopolis has conceded goals in 48% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Inter Santa Maria VS Veranopolis
0.86 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 50%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Santa Maria

(Home)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
1 : 1
Monsoon
21 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
0 : 1
Guarany de Bage
16 Feb
Guarany de Bage
3 : 2
Inter Santa Maria
09 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Inter Santa Maria
Page 1 of 6

Veranopolis

(Away)
13 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 0
Veranopolis
09 Sept
Veranopolis
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
06 Sept
GE Gloria
0 : 2
Veranopolis
01 Sept
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
1 : 0
Veranopolis
23 Aug
Veranopolis
0 : 3
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter Santa Maria 2
GE Bage 0
Passo Fundo 3
Veranopolis 4
Aimore 3
Lajeadense 0
Novo Hamburgo 5
Gramadense 1
Semi-finals
Inter Santa Maria 3
Veranopolis 1
Aimore 1
Novo Hamburgo 3
Final
Inter Santa Maria 2
Novo Hamburgo 3