Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Santa Tecla vs Aguila

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter Santa Tecla host Aguila in the Primera Division. This one's hard to separate. Aguila have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Inter Santa Tecla have conceded 0.88 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Inter Santa Tecla slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.19, favoring Aguila. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Inter Santa Tecla
30%
Draws
34%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Santa Tecla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguila have won more games recently than Inter Santa Tecla.
  • Inter Santa Tecla are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 20%
Aguila Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Santa Tecla Aguila
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 15 20
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Aguila
0:1
Nov 5, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla
3:0
Sep 4, 2025 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Aguila
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Santa Tecla 36 / 100
Aguila 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Santa Tecla Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Santa Tecla scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Inter Santa Tecla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Aguila's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter Santa Tecla VS Aguila
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Santa Tecla

(Home)
25 Jul
Atletico Balboa
0 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
11 May
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
08 May
Municipal Limeno
2 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
01 May
Zacatecoluca FC
2 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

Aguila

(Away)
26 Jul
Aguila
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
24 May
Aguila
0 : 3
FAS
17 May
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 2
Aguila
13 May
Aguila
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Metapan11004:23
2Alianza FC11003:13
3FAS11003:13
4Cacahuatique21016:63
5Luis Angel Firpo10101:11
6Aguila10101:11
7Platense Municipal10101:11
8Fuerte San Francisco10101:11
9Inter Santa Tecla10100:01
10Atletico Balboa20112:41
11Municipal Limeno10011:30
12Inca Aruba10011:30
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)