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Inter Santa Tecla vs Alianza FC Prediction & H2H Stats

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Guardado C.
90' Event
Mauricio E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Inter Santa Tecla and Alianza FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Santa Tecla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Inter Santa Tecla
35%
Draws
39%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Alianza FC haven't matched Inter Santa Tecla's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 22%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Santa Tecla Alianza FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.32 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Alianza FC
2:0
Mar 15, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Alianza FC
2:0
Jan 29, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Inter Santa Tecla
1:3
Sep 22, 2025 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Alianza FC
0:1
Jul 20, 2025 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Inter Santa Tecla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Guardado C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mauricio E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Alianza FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Santa Tecla 37 / 100
Alianza FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Santa Tecla Alianza FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Santa Tecla found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Alianza FC conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Inter Santa Tecla stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Santa Tecla VS Alianza FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Santa Tecla

(Home)
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1
Atletico Balboa
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
17 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 2
FAS
13 Sept
Cacahuatique
0 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
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Alianza FC

(Away)
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Municipal Limeno
17 Sept
Alianza FC
0 : 0
Motagua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 12 7 3 2 21:7 24
2 FAS 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
3 Metapan 12 7 2 3 17:10 23
4 Inter Santa Tecla 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
5 Alianza FC 11 4 5 2 17:15 17
6 Municipal Limeno 12 5 2 5 17:15 17
7 Aguila 13 4 5 4 18:17 17
8 Platense Municipal 13 3 4 6 13:18 13
9 Atletico Balboa 13 3 4 6 13:19 13
10 Inca Aruba 12 3 3 6 9:21 12
11 Cacahuatique 13 2 5 6 13:20 11
12 Fuerte San Francisco 13 1 5 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)