Sport Picks
Inter Santa Tecla vs Fuerte San Francisco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
El Salvador
Primera Division 
Match Events
51'
51'
Gallardo J.
64'
64'
Hernandez M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Division game between Inter Santa Tecla and Fuerte San Francisco finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Inter Santa Tecla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Fuerte San Francisco haven't matched Inter Santa Tecla's recent run of results.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Inter Santa Tecla taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 20%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Inter Santa Tecla | Fuerte San Francisco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:1
Aug 1, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Inter Santa Tecla
2:2
Mar 18, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Inter Santa Tecla
0:0
Jan 22, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Fuerte San Francisco
2:0
Sep 24, 2025 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Inter Santa Tecla
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Inter Santa Tecla Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Fuerte San Francisco Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallardo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Inter Santa Tecla 40 / 100
Fuerte San Francisco 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Inter Santa Tecla Fuerte San Francisco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Inter Santa Tecla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fuerte San Francisco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
Inter Santa Tecla's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Inter Santa Tecla has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Inter Santa Tecla VS Fuerte San Francisco
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Inter Santa Tecla
(Home) 04 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1 Fuerte San Francisco
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1 Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1 Atletico Balboa
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0 Metapan
17 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 2 FAS
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1 Fuerte San Francisco
27 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1 Atletico Balboa
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0 Metapan
17 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 2 FAS
22 Aug
Inter Santa Tecla
4 : 1 Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 3
Fuerte San Francisco
(Away) 04 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1 Fuerte San Francisco
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3 Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 0 Fuerte San Francisco
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2 Fuerte San Francisco
19 Sept
Inca Aruba
2 : 1 Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1 Fuerte San Francisco
27 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 0 Fuerte San Francisco
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2 Fuerte San Francisco
19 Sept
Inca Aruba
2 : 1 Fuerte San Francisco
30 Aug
Aguila
4 : 1 Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metapan | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 26 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23:9 | 25 |
| 3 | FAS | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Inter Santa Tecla | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Aguila | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Alianza FC | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeno | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 17 |
| 8 | Platense Municipal | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15:19 | 16 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12:23 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15:22 | 13 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | 11 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9:23 | 9 |
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
