Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Santa Tecla vs Metapan

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Henriquez J.
38' Event
Mauricio E.
80' Event
Dominguez R.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Inter Santa Tecla and Metapan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Santa Tecla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Inter Santa Tecla
30%
Draws
34%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Santa Tecla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Santa Tecla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Inter Santa Tecla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 20%
Metapan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Santa Tecla Metapan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Metapan
2:1
Feb 27, 2026 Copa Presidente
Inter Santa Tecla vs Metapan
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Inter Santa Tecla
0:3
Oct 19, 2025 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Metapan
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Inter Santa Tecla
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Henriquez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mauricio E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Santa Tecla 36 / 100
Metapan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Santa Tecla Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Inter Santa Tecla scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Metapan let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Inter Santa Tecla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter Santa Tecla VS Metapan
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Santa Tecla

(Home)
25 Jul
Atletico Balboa
0 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
11 May
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
08 May
Municipal Limeno
2 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
01 May
Zacatecoluca FC
2 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

Metapan

(Away)
25 Jul
Cacahuatique
2 : 4
Metapan
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
07 May
Metapan
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Metapan
1 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FAS22165149:1653
2Luis Angel Firpo22135434:2044
3Alianza FC22114736:3037
4Inter Santa Tecla22106627:2536
5Municipal Limeno22105733:2135
6Aguila22105727:2435
7Metapan2269723:3027
8Cacahuatique2268824:2826
9Platense Municipal22481024:3120
10Hercules22471127:4319
11Fuerte San Francisco22281218:3514
12Zacatecoluca FC22341523:4213
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)