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Inter Toronto vs HFX Wanderers

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Almagro A.
Assist: Skublak T.
10' Event
Telfer R.
Own Goal
25' Event
Yeates S.
Assist: Almagro A.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Inter Toronto and HFX Wanderers finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Toronto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Inter Toronto
20%
Draws
51%
HFX Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HFX Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HFX Wanderers come out ahead of Inter Toronto on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Inter Toronto Clean Sheet 10%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Toronto HFX Wanderers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.36 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Inter Toronto
4:1
Aug 16, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs HFX Wanderers
4:3
May 23, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Inter Toronto
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs HFX Wanderers
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Inter Toronto
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Toronto Compare

Top Goalscorer Almagro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yeates S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

HFX Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Rampersad A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnston I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Toronto 30 / 100
HFX Wanderers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Toronto HFX Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HFX Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter Toronto scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

HFX Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Inter Toronto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Toronto VS HFX Wanderers
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Toronto

(Home)
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
09 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 3
Pacific FC
05 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 1
Inter Toronto
28 Aug
Atletico Ottawa
2 : 1
Inter Toronto
Page 1 of 6

HFX Wanderers

(Away)
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2
HFX Wanderers
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
30 Aug
Pacific FC
4 : 3
HFX Wanderers
22 Aug
HFX Wanderers
1 : 0
Vancouver FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 22 15 5 2 42:13 50
2 Forge FC 22 14 4 4 34:16 46
3 Atletico Ottawa 23 10 4 9 34:39 34
4 Vancouver FC 23 9 4 10 31:29 31
5 HFX Wanderers 23 7 5 11 35:38 26
6 Supra du Quebec 22 7 4 11 31:38 25
7 Inter Toronto 21 5 8 8 30:46 23
8 Pacific FC 22 1 8 13 26:44 11
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)