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Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON
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Match Events

7'
Rea S.
7' Event
Skublak T.
8'
Sub
Ferdinand K. In: Awonongbadje E.
Out: Ferdinand K.

AI Match Summary

Supra du Quebec in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Supra du Quebec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Inter Toronto
15%
Draws
59%
Supra du Quebec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Supra du Quebec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Supra du Quebec have won more games recently than Inter Toronto.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Supra du Quebec here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Inter Toronto Clean Sheet 10%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Toronto Supra du Quebec
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec
1:2
Aug 23, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec
1:1
May 29, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Inter Toronto
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Toronto Compare

Top Goalscorer Skublak T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Supra du Quebec Compare

Top Goalscorer Kwemi L. A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Toronto 30 / 100
Supra du Quebec 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Toronto Supra du Quebec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Toronto's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Supra du Quebec let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Inter Toronto went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Toronto VS Supra du Quebec
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Toronto

(Home)
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
03 Oct
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Cavalry
27 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 4
Pacific FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
Page 1 of 6

Supra du Quebec

(Away)
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 Supra du Quebec 25 9 4 12 38:45 31
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)