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Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON
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Match Events

14' Event
Altobelli J.
Assist: Yeates S.
15'
Almagro A.
34'
Conde I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Inter Toronto
15%
Draws
65%
Supra du Quebec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Supra du Quebec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Supra du Quebec lately — more wins on the board than Inter Toronto.
  • Supra du Quebec are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Supra du Quebec have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Inter Toronto Clean Sheet 10%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Toronto Supra du Quebec
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Inter Toronto
3:0
Oct 7, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec
1:2
Aug 23, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec
1:1
May 29, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Inter Toronto
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Toronto Compare

Top Goalscorer Altobelli J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Supra du Quebec Compare

Top Goalscorer Kwemi L. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Toronto 10 / 100
Supra du Quebec 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Toronto Supra du Quebec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Supra du Quebec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Toronto's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Supra du Quebec let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Inter Toronto has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter Toronto VS Supra du Quebec
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Toronto

(Home)
16 Oct
Supra du Quebec
3 : 0
Inter Toronto
12 Oct
Forge FC
5 : 0
Inter Toronto
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
03 Oct
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Cavalry
27 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 4
Pacific FC
Page 1 of 6

Supra du Quebec

(Away)
16 Oct
Supra du Quebec
3 : 0
Inter Toronto
10 Oct
Supra du Quebec
2 : 2
Vancouver FC
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 27 17 6 4 57:23 57
2 Forge FC 27 17 6 4 48:21 57
3 Atletico Ottawa 27 13 4 10 41:43 43
4 Vancouver FC 27 10 7 10 39:36 37
5 Supra du Quebec 27 10 5 12 43:47 35
6 HFX Wanderers 27 7 7 13 41:46 28
7 Inter Toronto 27 6 9 12 40:64 27
8 Pacific FC 27 2 8 17 32:61 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)