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Inter Toronto vs Vancouver FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Skublak T.
39' Event
Accettola L.
Assist: Yeates S.
46'
Sub
Proctor K. In: Gee P.
Out: Proctor K.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Inter Toronto and Vancouver FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Toronto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Inter Toronto
35%
Draws
30%
Vancouver FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vancouver FC come out ahead of Inter Toronto on wins alone.
  • Model gives Inter Toronto a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Inter Toronto Clean Sheet 15%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Toronto Vancouver FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto
3:3
Sep 13, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Vancouver FC
3:1
Jul 4, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto
4:0
Apr 19, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Vancouver FC
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Toronto Compare

Top Goalscorer Accettola L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skublak T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Vancouver FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bah E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Toronto 57 / 100
Vancouver FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Toronto Vancouver FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Toronto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Toronto found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Vancouver FC has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Inter Toronto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Toronto VS Vancouver FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Toronto

(Home)
03 Oct
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Cavalry
27 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 4
Pacific FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
Page 1 of 6

Vancouver FC

(Away)
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Vancouver FC
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
06 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 2
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 24 14 6 4 38:20 48
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
6 Inter Toronto 24 6 9 9 39:54 27
7 Supra du Quebec 23 7 4 12 31:44 25
8 Pacific FC 23 2 8 13 30:47 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)