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Inter U23 vs Foggia Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Merdji Y.
5' Event
Milani A.
Assist: Fumagalli T.
13'
Sub
Smeraldi A. In: Rinaldo M.
Out: Smeraldi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Inter U23 and Foggia finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Inter U23
30%
Draws
16%
Foggia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Foggia haven't matched Inter U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Inter U23's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Inter U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Foggia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter U23 Foggia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.17 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Inter U23 vs Foggia
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Milani A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fumagalli T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Foggia Compare

Top Goalscorer Merdji Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ravasio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter U23 68 / 100
Foggia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter U23 Foggia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Foggia conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Inter U23 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Inter U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter U23 VS Foggia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter U23

(Home)
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2
Foggia
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3
Casertana
07 Sept
Picerno
4 : 1
Inter U23
29 Aug
Inter U23
1 : 1
Altamura
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Foggia

(Away)
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2
Foggia
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2
Audace Cerignola
29 Aug
Foggia
1 : 1
Salernitana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Bari 7 5 1 1 10:4 16
3 Sorrento 7 5 0 2 10:7 15
4 Picerno 7 4 0 3 14:11 12
5 Casertana 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 7 3 2 2 6:4 11
7 Audace Cerignola 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 Catania 7 3 1 3 12:9 10
9 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
10 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
11 Casarano 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
12 Salernitana 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
13 Foggia 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
14 Cavese 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
15 Barletta 7 1 4 2 11:13 7
16 Altamura 7 2 1 4 4:10 7
17 A.C. Savoia 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
18 Giugliano 6 1 1 4 11:16 4
19 Cosenza 7 0 2 5 5:16 2
20 Crotone 7 1 3 3 7:10 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)