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Inter U23 vs Monopoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter U23 host Monopoli in the Serie C - Group C. This one's hard to separate. Monopoli have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Inter U23 have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.19. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.13 - 1.19) back Monopoli to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Inter U23
35%
Draws
37%
Monopoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monopoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Monopoli have won more games recently than Inter U23.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Inter U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter U23 Monopoli
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.19 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter U23 31 / 100
Monopoli 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter U23 Monopoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter U23 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Monopoli let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Inter U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter U23 VS Monopoli
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter U23

(Home)
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2
Foggia
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3
Casertana
07 Sept
Picerno
4 : 1
Inter U23
29 Aug
Inter U23
1 : 1
Altamura
Page 1 of 6

Monopoli

(Away)
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)