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Inter vs Fiorentina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro), Milan
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter host Fiorentina in the Serie A. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Inter have averaged 2.21 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Fiorentina's 1.57 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Inter have won 3 to Fiorentina's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward Inter. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Inter
20%
Draws
33%
Fiorentina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inter

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter come out ahead of Fiorentina on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Inter Clean Sheet 19%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Fiorentina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.21 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Inter
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 Serie A
Inter vs Fiorentina
3:0
Feb 10, 2025 Serie A
Inter vs Fiorentina
2:1
Feb 6, 2025 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Inter
3:0
Jan 28, 2024 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Inter
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter 31 / 100
Fiorentina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Fiorentina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fiorentina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Inter remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter VS Fiorentina
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter

(Home)
13 Oct
Inter
3 : 4
Club Brugge
10 Oct
Inter
3 : 0
Parma
03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0
Lumezzane
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
14 Sept
Inter
5 : 3
Udinese
Page 1 of 6

Fiorentina

(Away)
10 Oct
Genoa
2 : 1
Fiorentina
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Pisa
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Torino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 6 5 1 0 18:8 16
2 Lazio 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
3 AS Roma 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
4 Cagliari 6 4 1 1 6:3 13
5 AC Milan 6 3 3 0 11:5 12
6 Juventus 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Como 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
8 Napoli 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
9 Frosinone 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
10 Atalanta 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
11 Sassuolo 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
12 Torino 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
13 Lecce 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
14 Bologna 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Udinese 6 1 1 4 9:13 4
16 Monza 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
17 Genoa 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
18 Parma 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Fiorentina 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
20 Venezia 6 0 0 6 5:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)