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Inter vs Parma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro), Milan
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter host Parma in the Serie A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Inter have averaged 2.11 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Parma's 0.83 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor Inter slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 0.94, favoring Inter. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 7-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Inter
20%
Draws
23%
Parma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inter

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter have won more games recently than Parma.
  • Model gives Inter a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Inter have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Inter Clean Sheet 20%
Parma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Parma
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 2.11 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie A
Inter vs Parma
2:0
Jan 7, 2026 Serie A
Parma vs Inter
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Serie A
Parma vs Inter
2:2
Dec 6, 2024 Serie A
Inter vs Parma
3:1
Jan 10, 2023 Coppa Italia
Inter vs Parma
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter 76 / 100
Parma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Parma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Parma has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Inter went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter VS Parma
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter

(Home)
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
14 Sept
Inter
5 : 3
Udinese
08 Sept
Real Madrid
2 : 1
Inter
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2
Napoli
30 Aug
Cagliari
0 : 1
Inter
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Parma

(Away)
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1
Genoa
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
29 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Parma
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)