Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter W vs Fiorentina W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Magull L.
Assist: Wullaert T.
46'
Sub
Csiszar H. In: Detruyer M.
Out: Csiszar H.
59'
Sub
Tryggvadottir K. In: Eiriksdottir H.
Out: Tryggvadottir K.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Inter W and Fiorentina W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Inter W
20%
Draws
45%
Fiorentina W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fiorentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fiorentina W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Inter W Clean Sheet 10%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter W Fiorentina W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.09 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie A Women
Inter W vs Fiorentina W
3:0
Oct 11, 2025 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Inter W
2:2
Sep 6, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Inter W vs Fiorentina W
3:1
May 3, 2025 Serie A Women
Inter W vs Fiorentina W
1:3
Mar 23, 2025 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Inter W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter W Compare

Top Goalscorer Magull L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bugeja H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Fiorentina W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter W 18 / 100
Fiorentina W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter W Fiorentina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Inter W scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Fiorentina W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Inter W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter W VS Fiorentina W
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter W

(Home)
09 Aug
Union Berlin W
0 : 1
Inter W
01 Aug
Inter W
4 : 1
Como 1907 W
22 Jul
Grasshopper W
2 : 3
Inter W
16 May
Inter W
0 : 3
Como W
10 May
Juventus W
3 : 3
Inter W
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Fiorentina W

(Away)
08 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 1
Manchester City W
05 Aug
Cesena W
0 : 6
Fiorentina W
17 May
Fiorentina W
2 : 1
Lazio W
09 May
Genoa W
2 : 3
Fiorentina W
03 May
Fiorentina W
1 : 0
Como W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)