Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Internacional U20 vs Penarol U20

South America South America

Copa Libertadores U20 2022 Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Internacional U20 Logo

Internacional U20

1 - 1
FT
Penarol U20 Logo

Penarol U20

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ryan L.
40'
Estevao
40'
Estevao
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Libertadores U20 2022 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Internacional U20
15%
Draws
40%
Penarol U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Internacional U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Internacional U20 lately — more wins on the board than Penarol U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Internacional U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Internacional U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Penarol U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Internacional U20 Penarol U20
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.94 2
Goals Conceded 1.19 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Copa Libertadores U20
Internacional U20 vs Penarol U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Internacional U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Penarol U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Internacional U20 30 / 100
Penarol U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Internacional U20 Penarol U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Penarol U20 conceded in 82% of 11 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Internacional U20 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Internacional U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Internacional U20 VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Internacional U20

(Home)
11 Jul
Internacional U20
2 : 1
EC Juventude U20
04 Jul
EC Juventude U20
0 : 0
Internacional U20
27 Jun
Internacional U20
4 : 2
Gremio U20
18 Jun
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Internacional U20
14 Jun
Gremio U20
0 : 1
Internacional U20
Page 1 of 7

Penarol U20

(Away)
16 Jul
Penarol U20
2 : 3
Cerro Porteno U20
13 Jul
Penarol U20
0 : 1
Boca Juniors U20
07 Jul
O'Higgins U20
1 : 2
Penarol U20
04 Jul
Penarol U20
4 : 1
Alianza Lima U20
01 Jul
Penarol U20
5 : 1
Caracas U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle U20 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Caracas U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Sporting Cristal U20 3 1 0 2 6:12 3
4 Blooming U20 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol U20 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Millonarios U20 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 LDU Quito U20 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Internacional U20 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani U20 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 Newells Old Boys U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Orense U20 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
4 U. De Concepcion U20 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams