Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Internacional vs Novo Hamburgo

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Allison
Assist: Luam Parede
46'
Sub
Raykkonen In: Joao Victor
Out: Raykkonen
61' Event
Joao Marcus
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Internacional in this Gaucho matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Internacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Internacional
20%
Draws
51%
Novo Hamburgo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novo Hamburgo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Internacional lately — more wins on the board than Novo Hamburgo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Internacional Clean Sheet 20%
Novo Hamburgo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Internacional Novo Hamburgo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Gaucho
Internacional vs Novo Hamburgo
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 Gaucho
Novo Hamburgo vs Internacional
1:3
Feb 5, 2023 Gaucho
Novo Hamburgo vs Internacional
0:0
Feb 10, 2022 Gaucho
Internacional vs Novo Hamburgo
1:1
Mar 21, 2021 Gaucho
Novo Hamburgo vs Internacional
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Internacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Coser
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Novo Hamburgo Compare

Top Goalscorer Allison
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Internacional 36 / 100
Novo Hamburgo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Internacional Novo Hamburgo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Internacional found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Novo Hamburgo let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Internacional went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Internacional VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Internacional

(Home)
02 Aug
Internacional
2 : 0
Corinthians
29 Jul
Internacional
1 : 1
Flamengo RJ
25 Jul
Athletico-PR
2 : 0
Internacional
23 Jul
Internacional
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
31 May
Bragantino
3 : 1
Internacional
Page 1 of 6

Novo Hamburgo

(Away)
06 Mar
Novo Hamburgo
1 : 1
Sao Luiz
02 Mar
Sao Luiz
1 : 0
Novo Hamburgo
22 Feb
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 2
Novo Hamburgo
14 Feb
Novo Hamburgo
3 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA)
07 Feb
Gremio
1 : 0
Novo Hamburgo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 EC Juventude 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
3 EC Sao Jose (PA) 6 2 3 1 4:3 9
4 Sao Luiz 6 1 4 1 6:10 7
5 Avenida 6 1 2 3 4:9 5
6 Guarany de Bage 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
2 SER Caxias do Sul 6 2 1 3 8:5 7
3 Ypiranga FC 6 1 4 1 7:9 7
4 Novo Hamburgo 6 1 3 2 5:5 6
5 Monsoon 6 1 3 2 5:11 6
6 Inter Santa Maria 6 1 2 3 1:4 5
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)