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Internacional vs Novo Hamburgo

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Estádio José Pinheiro Borda
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Allison
Assist: Luam Parede
46'
Sub
Raykkonen In: Joao Victor
Out: Raykkonen
61' Event
Joao Marcus
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Internacional in this Gaucho matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Internacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Internacional
40%
Draws
29%
Novo Hamburgo
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Internacional lately — more wins on the board than Novo Hamburgo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Internacional Clean Sheet 20%
Novo Hamburgo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Internacional Novo Hamburgo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Gaucho
Internacional vs Novo Hamburgo
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 Gaucho
Novo Hamburgo vs Internacional
1:3
Feb 5, 2023 Gaucho
Novo Hamburgo vs Internacional
0:0
Feb 10, 2022 Gaucho
Internacional vs Novo Hamburgo
1:1
Mar 21, 2021 Gaucho
Novo Hamburgo vs Internacional
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Internacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Coser
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Novo Hamburgo Compare

Top Goalscorer Allison
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Internacional 32 / 100
Novo Hamburgo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Internacional Novo Hamburgo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Internacional found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Novo Hamburgo let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Internacional went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Internacional VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional650114:515
2EC Juventude63308:312
3EC Sao Jose (PA)62314:39
4Sao Luiz61416:107
5Avenida61234:95
6Guarany de Bage61234:105
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio631214:610
2SER Caxias do Sul62138:57
3Ypiranga FC61417:97
4Novo Hamburgo61325:56
5Monsoon61325:116
6Inter Santa Maria61231:45