Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Internacional vs Sao Luiz

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Aguirre B.
Assist: Bernabei A.
5' Event
Felipe Rangel
Assist: Araujo
17'
Marcao

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Internacional
15%
Draws
59%
Sao Luiz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Luiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Internacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sao Luiz are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Internacional have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Internacional, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Internacional have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Internacional Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Luiz Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Internacional Sao Luiz
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Gaucho
Internacional vs Sao Luiz
3:1
Feb 13, 2025 Gaucho
Sao Luiz vs Internacional
1:3
Mar 9, 2024 Gaucho
Internacional vs Sao Luiz
3:0
Jan 24, 2024 Gaucho
Sao Luiz vs Internacional
0:0
Jan 28, 2023 Gaucho
Internacional vs Sao Luiz
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Internacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirre B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bernabei A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sao Luiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Rangel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Internacional 28 / 100
Sao Luiz 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Internacional Sao Luiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luiz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Internacional scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Sao Luiz conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Internacional stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Internacional VS Sao Luiz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 83%
25% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Internacional

(Home)
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0
Internacional
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1
Internacional
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2
Internacional
Page 1 of 7

Sao Luiz

(Away)
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
19 Jul
Sao Luiz
0 : 0
CSA
12 Jul
Sao Luiz
3 : 1
Velo Clube
04 Jul
Velo Clube
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
27 Jun
Blumenau
1 : 2
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Internacional 3
Sao Luiz 1
SER Caxias do Sul 0
Ypiranga FC 2
EC Juventude 3
EC Sao Jose (PA) 2
Gremio 1
Novo Hamburgo 0
Semi-finals
Internacional 7
Ypiranga FC 0
EC Juventude 2
Gremio 3
Final
Internacional 1
Gremio 4