Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Internacional vs Sao Luiz

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Aguirre B.
Assist: Bernabei A.
5' Event
Felipe Rangel
Assist: Araujo
17'
Marcao

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Internacional advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Internacional
17%
Draws
70%
Sao Luiz
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sao Luiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Internacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sao Luiz are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Internacional have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Internacional, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Internacional have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Internacional Clean Sheet 16%
Sao Luiz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Internacional Sao Luiz
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Gaucho
Internacional vs Sao Luiz
3:1
Feb 13, 2025 Gaucho
Sao Luiz vs Internacional
1:3
Mar 9, 2024 Gaucho
Internacional vs Sao Luiz
3:0
Jan 24, 2024 Gaucho
Sao Luiz vs Internacional
0:0
Jan 28, 2023 Gaucho
Internacional vs Sao Luiz
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Internacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirre B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bernabei A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sao Luiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Rangel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Internacional 15 / 100
Sao Luiz 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Internacional Sao Luiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Internacional scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Sao Luiz conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Internacional stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Internacional VS Sao Luiz
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Internacional

(Home)
25 Jul
Athletico-PR
2 : 0
Internacional
23 Jul
Internacional
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
31 May
Bragantino
3 : 1
Internacional
23 May
Vitoria
2 : 0
Internacional
16 May
Internacional
4 : 1
Vasco
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Sao Luiz

(Away)
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
19 Jul
Sao Luiz
0 : 0
CSA
12 Jul
Sao Luiz
3 : 1
Velo Clube
04 Jul
Velo Clube
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
27 Jun
Blumenau
1 : 2
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Internacional3
Sao Luiz1
SER Caxias do Sul0
Ypiranga FC2
EC Juventude3
EC Sao Jose (PA)2
Gremio1
Novo Hamburgo0
Semi-finals
Internacional7
Ypiranga FC0
EC Juventude2
Gremio3
Final
Internacional1
Gremio4