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Internacional vs Vitoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, Porto Alegre
Mon, Nov 23, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Internacional host Vitoria in the Serie A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Internacional have averaged 1.34 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Vitoria's 1.28 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Vitoria slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.38) back Internacional to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Internacional
30%
Draws
16%
Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Internacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Internacional haven't matched Vitoria's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Internacional taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Internacional Clean Sheet 17%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Internacional Vitoria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Serie A
Vitoria vs Internacional
2:0
Nov 5, 2025 Serie A
Vitoria vs Internacional
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Serie A
Internacional vs Vitoria
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Serie A
Internacional vs Vitoria
3:1
Jun 16, 2024 Serie A
Vitoria vs Internacional
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Internacional 84 / 100
Vitoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Internacional Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Internacional Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Internacional scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Vitoria has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Internacional has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Internacional VS Vitoria
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Internacional

(Home)
04 Nov
Internacional
1 : 0
Coritiba
28 Oct
Fluminense
2 : 1
Internacional
24 Oct
Internacional
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ
16 Oct
Mirassol
2 : 0
Internacional
11 Oct
Gremio
1 : 1
Internacional
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria

(Away)
06 Nov
Vitoria
0 : 3
Fluminense
31 Oct
Coritiba
2 : 0
Vitoria
24 Oct
Vitoria
1 : 1
Athletico-PR
19 Oct
Corinthians
1 : 1
Vitoria
11 Oct
Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Vitoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 34 23 7 4 71:29 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21 10 3 62:23 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18 6 10 55:48 60
4 Fluminense 34 16 9 9 55:42 57
5 Athletico-PR 34 15 9 10 51:43 54
6 Bahia 34 14 11 9 50:45 53
7 Atletico-MG 34 14 8 12 44:40 50
8 Bragantino 34 13 8 13 44:39 47
9 Santos 34 12 11 11 50:49 47
10 Sao Paulo 34 12 8 14 39:39 44
11 Botafogo RJ 34 11 9 14 46:53 42
12 Coritiba 34 11 9 14 40:51 42
13 Vasco 33 11 8 14 43:50 41
14 Mirassol 34 10 10 14 39:48 40
15 Vitoria 34 10 8 16 35:51 38
16 Internacional 34 9 11 14 38:42 38
17 Corinthians 34 9 10 15 36:42 37
18 Gremio 34 9 10 15 38:47 37
19 Remo 34 6 11 17 37:57 29
20 Chapecoense-SC 33 4 9 20 33:68 21
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)