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Inverness vs Dunfermline Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Championship Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Shinnie G.
65'
Sub
Robinson L. In: Donnelly A.
Out: Robinson L.
65'
Sub
Rudden Z. In: Kane Ch.
Out: Rudden Z.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Inverness and Dunfermline finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Inverness
20%
Draws
47%
Dunfermline
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dunfermline come out ahead of Inverness on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Inverness Clean Sheet 16%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inverness Dunfermline
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 15 16
Draws 10 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Championship
Inverness vs Dunfermline
0:0
Apr 27, 2024 Championship
Dunfermline vs Inverness
1:1
Feb 27, 2024 Championship
Inverness vs Dunfermline
0:0
Nov 18, 2023 Championship
Dunfermline vs Inverness
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 Championship
Inverness vs Dunfermline
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inverness 31 / 100
Dunfermline 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inverness Dunfermline

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inverness's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Inverness went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dunfermline let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Inverness VS Dunfermline
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inverness

(Home)
25 Sept
Inverness
2 : 0
Morton
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1
Inverness
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Dunfermline

(Away)
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Dunfermline
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 8 7 1 0 12:2 22
2 Raith 8 4 2 2 11:5 14
3 Livingston 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
5 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
6 Arbroath 8 3 2 3 6:10 11
7 Inverness 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
8 Ayr 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
9 Queen's Park 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
10 Morton 8 0 1 7 4:15 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)