Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inverness vs Morton

Scotland Scotland

Championship Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
Fri, Sep 25, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inverness host Morton in the Championship. This has Inverness written all over it on paper. Morton have shipped 1.71 goals a game lately, while Inverness have conceded 1.23 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Inverness slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 0.88) point toward Inverness. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Inverness
30%
Draws
12%
Morton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inverness

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Morton haven't matched Inverness's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Inverness's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Inverness Clean Sheet 20%
Morton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inverness Morton
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup
Morton vs Inverness
0:1
May 3, 2024 Championship
Inverness vs Morton
3:1
Mar 2, 2024 Championship
Morton vs Inverness
0:2
Dec 30, 2023 Championship
Inverness vs Morton
0:0
Dec 12, 2023 Championship
Morton vs Inverness
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inverness 58 / 100
Morton 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inverness Morton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inverness Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inverness's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Morton has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Inverness has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inverness VS Morton
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inverness

(Home)
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1
Inverness
21 Aug
Inverness
1 : 1
Partick
Page 1 of 6

Morton

(Away)
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
22 Aug
Morton
1 : 2
Arbroath
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 7 6 1 0 11:2 19
2 Raith 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
4 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Livingston 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
6 Ayr 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Arbroath 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
8 Inverness 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
9 Queen's Park 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Morton 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)