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Inverness vs Raith - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Robertson J.
48'
Delaney Z.
54'
Sub
Dowds A. In: Oakley G.
Out: Dowds A.

AI Match Summary

Raith in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Raith.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Inverness
20%
Draws
47%
Raith
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Raith lately — more wins on the board than Inverness.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Raith have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Inverness Clean Sheet 14%
Raith Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inverness Raith
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Championship
Inverness vs Raith
0:2
Apr 5, 2026 Challenge Cup
Raith vs Inverness
4:1
Jul 26, 2025 League Cup
Raith vs Inverness
5:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Raith vs Inverness
1:0
Apr 19, 2024 Championship
Inverness vs Raith
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inverness Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Raith Compare

Top Goalscorer Robertson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rowe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inverness 35 / 100
Raith 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inverness Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inverness scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Raith conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Inverness went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inverness VS Raith
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inverness

(Home)
25 Sept
Inverness
2 : 0
Morton
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1
Inverness
Page 1 of 6

Raith

(Away)
03 Oct
Morton
1 : 2
Raith
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 8 7 1 0 12:2 22
2 Raith 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
3 Partick 8 4 3 1 8:2 15
4 Livingston 9 4 1 4 13:9 13
5 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
6 Ayr 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
7 Arbroath 9 3 2 4 6:13 11
8 Inverness 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
9 Queen's Park 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
10 Morton 9 0 1 8 5:17 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)