Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inverness vs Raith

Scotland Scotland

Championship Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inverness host Raith in the Championship. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Inverness at 2.13 goals for, 1.13 against; Raith at 1.5 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Inverness have won 1 to Raith's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.31, favoring Inverness. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Inverness
20%
Draws
19%
Raith
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inverness

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inverness lately — more wins on the board than Raith.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Inverness taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Raith have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Inverness Clean Sheet 18%
Raith Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inverness Raith
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Challenge Cup
Raith vs Inverness
4:1
Jul 26, 2025 League Cup
Raith vs Inverness
5:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Raith vs Inverness
1:0
Apr 19, 2024 Championship
Inverness vs Raith
0:1
Jan 27, 2024 Championship
Raith vs Inverness
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inverness 85 / 100
Raith 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inverness Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inverness scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Inverness went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Raith let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Inverness VS Raith
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inverness

(Home)
01 Aug
Inverness
0 : 0
Dunfermline
25 Jul
Morton
0 : 1
Inverness
21 Jul
Inverness
1 : 0
St Johnstone
18 Jul
Linlithgow Rose
0 : 2
Inverness
11 Jul
Inverness
2 : 1
East Fife
Page 1 of 6

Raith

(Away)
01 Aug
Raith
1 : 1
Stenhousemuir
24 Jul
Raith
0 : 1
Hearts
21 Jul
Raith
1 : 0
Peterhead
18 Jul
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
14 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Raith
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livingston 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ayr 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Partick 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Raith 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Stenhousemuir 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Inverness 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Dunfermline 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Morton 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
9 Queen's Park 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Arbroath 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)