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Inverness vs Ross County

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 4, 2026
0 - 4
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inverness play Ross County in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Inverness averaged 1.59 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. Ross County averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. In past meetings, Inverness won 2, Ross County won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 2, 2021 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Inverness and 1.56 for Ross County. This points to a Inverness double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Inverness
23%
Draws
29%
Ross County
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Inverness

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Inverness picked up more points recently compared to Ross County.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Inverness Clean Sheet 15%
Ross County Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inverness Ross County
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2021 Scottish Cup
Ross County vs Inverness
1:3
Apr 2, 2019 Championship
Inverness vs Ross County
1:2
Feb 19, 2019 Scottish Cup
Inverness vs Ross County
3:2
Feb 11, 2019 Scottish Cup
Ross County vs Inverness
2:2
Dec 29, 2018 Championship
Ross County vs Inverness
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inverness Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ross County Compare

Top Goalscorer Chin R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lindsay J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inverness 46 / 100
Ross County 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inverness Ross County

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Inverness or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Inverness attacking → ← attacking Ross County

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inverness scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Ross County let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Inverness went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ross County lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 34
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63