Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inverness vs Stenhousemuir

Scotland Scotland

Championship Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inverness host Stenhousemuir in the Championship. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Inverness at 1.5 goals for, 1.23 against; Stenhousemuir at 1.52 for, 0.71 against. Head-to-head, Inverness have won 1 to Stenhousemuir's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.50) back Stenhousemuir to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Inverness
20%
Draws
56%
Stenhousemuir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Stenhousemuir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Inverness Clean Sheet 16%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inverness Stenhousemuir
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 21
Draws 11 6
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.5 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Championship
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness
3:1
Apr 11, 2026 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 League One
Inverness vs Stenhousemuir
1:1
Jan 27, 2026 Challenge Cup
Inverness vs Stenhousemuir
1:0
Dec 20, 2025 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inverness 31 / 100
Stenhousemuir 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inverness Stenhousemuir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenhousemuir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inverness found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Inverness stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Stenhousemuir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Inverness VS Stenhousemuir
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inverness

(Home)
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1
Inverness
21 Aug
Inverness
1 : 1
Partick
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Stenhousemuir

(Away)
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1
Inverness
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 7 6 1 0 11:2 19
2 Raith 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
4 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Livingston 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
6 Ayr 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Arbroath 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
8 Inverness 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
9 Queen's Park 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Morton 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)