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Inveruno vs Ciserano-Bergamo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inveruno play Ciserano-Bergamo in the Serie D - Group B 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Inveruno averaged 0.95 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. Ciserano-Bergamo averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Inveruno won 1, Ciserano-Bergamo won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 12, 2020 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Inveruno and 1.00 for Ciserano-Bergamo. This points to a Ciserano-Bergamo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Inveruno
40%
Draws
30%
Ciserano-Bergamo
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Inveruno picked up more points recently compared to Ciserano-Bergamo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Inveruno Clean Sheet 23%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inveruno Ciserano-Bergamo
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 2 11
Draws 3 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.95 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.11 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Inveruno vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:3
Sep 7, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Inveruno
3:2
Apr 17, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Inveruno vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:3
Nov 29, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Inveruno
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inveruno Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Villanova M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vigolo V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inveruno 32 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inveruno Ciserano-Bergamo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ciserano-Bergamo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Inveruno attacking → ← attacking Ciserano-Bergamo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inveruno scored in 58% of their last 19 games.

Ciserano-Bergamo let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Inveruno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ciserano-Bergamo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00