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Inveruno vs Pro Sesto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2019/2020
Wed, Mar 25, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inveruno host Pro Sesto in the Serie D - Group B 2019/2020. Pro Sesto go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Inveruno at 0.95 goals for, 2.11 against; Pro Sesto at 1.5 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Inveruno have won 2 to Pro Sesto's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.36) point toward Pro Sesto. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Inveruno
15%
Draws
59%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Pro Sesto have won more games recently than Inveruno.
  • Pro Sesto are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Inveruno Clean Sheet 18%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inveruno Pro Sesto
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 2 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.95 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.11 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Inveruno vs Pro Sesto
0:0
Oct 30, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Inveruno
4:2
Sep 25, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D
Pro Sesto vs Inveruno
1:2
Mar 25, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Inveruno vs Pro Sesto
3:1
Nov 5, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Pro Sesto vs Inveruno
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inveruno 23 / 100
Pro Sesto 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inveruno Pro Sesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Inveruno found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (19 games).

Pro Sesto let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Inveruno remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pro Sesto
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inveruno

(Home)
16 Feb
Inveruno
1 : 2
Bustese Milano City
09 Feb
NibionnOggiono
1 : 1
Inveruno
02 Feb
Inveruno
2 : 1
Folgore Caratese
26 Jan
Levico Terme
1 : 0
Inveruno
19 Jan
Inveruno
0 : 3
Legnano
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Pro Sesto

(Away)
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
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