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Inveruno vs Sanremese Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D 2019/2020
Wed, Nov 13, 2019
2 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gagliardini A.
24' Event
Di Vaio M.
60' Event
Manes A.

AI Match Summary

Sanremese in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Inveruno
30%
Draws
39%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanremese lately — more wins on the board than Inveruno.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Sanremese arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanremese, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Inveruno Clean Sheet 20%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inveruno Sanremese
Matches Played 19 29
Wins 2 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.95 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.11 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D
Inveruno vs Sanremese
2:3
May 12, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Inveruno
0:1
Apr 18, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Inveruno vs Sanremese
1:1
Dec 12, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Inveruno
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inveruno Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Vaio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vai N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gagliardini A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inveruno 31 / 100
Sanremese 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inveruno Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inveruno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Inveruno's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sanremese conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Inveruno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sanremese
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inveruno

(Home)
16 Feb
Inveruno
1 : 2
Bustese Milano City
09 Feb
NibionnOggiono
1 : 1
Inveruno
02 Feb
Inveruno
2 : 1
Folgore Caratese
26 Jan
Levico Terme
1 : 0
Inveruno
19 Jan
Inveruno
0 : 3
Legnano
Page 1 of 4

Sanremese

(Away)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Mantova 3
Ciliverghe Mazzano 4
Folgore Caratese 2
Caravaggio 0
Seregno Calcio 4
Casale 1
Crema 1
Fanfulla 0
Montebelluna 2
Union Feltre 3
Villafranca 2
Virtus Bolzano 1
Chions 0
Campodarsego 3
Mestre 0
Adriese 1
Grassina 2
Scandicci 1
San Donato Tavarnelle 2
Monterosi 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Grosseto 1
FC Ponsacco 4
Tuttocuoio 2
Pro Sesto 1
Inveruno 2
Brusaporto 2
Villa Valle 1
AC Chieri 3
Ligorna 0
Sanremese 1
Savona 0
Avezzano 0
Pineto 1
Trastevere Calcio 0
Ostiamare 1
Lanusei Calcio 0
Sassari Torres 2
Aprilia 1
Vis Artena 0
US Tolentino 3
Cannara 1
Sangiustese 1
Montegiorgio 2
Mezzolara 1
Vigor Carpaneto 0
Savignanese 2
Matelica 1
Roma City 1
Portici 1906 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Fidelis Andria 0
Francavilla 0
Citta di Fasano 2
Taranto 2
Audace Cerignola 0
FC Messina 2
Cittanovese 0
Marsala 0
AS Acireale 2
Foggia 3
Vastogirardi 1
Turris 2
Sorrento 1
1/16-finals
Ciliverghe Mazzano 1
Folgore Caratese 2
Seregno Calcio 2
Crema 1
Union Feltre 2
Villafranca 0
Campodarsego 2
Adriese 1
Grassina 1
San Donato Tavarnelle 3
Seravezza Pozzi 2
FC Ponsacco 0
Inveruno 3
Brusaporto 2
AC Chieri 0
Sanremese 3
Pineto 1
Ostiamare 0
Sassari Torres 3
Aprilia 0
US Tolentino 2
Montegiorgio 0
Mezzolara 2
Savignanese 1
Portici 1906 0
A.C. Savoia 2
Citta di Fasano 3
Taranto 2
FC Messina 0
AS Acireale 2
Foggia 3
Turris 1
1/8-finals
Folgore Caratese 3
Seregno Calcio 2
Union Feltre 3
Campodarsego 0
San Donato Tavarnelle 2
Seravezza Pozzi 3
Inveruno 2
Sanremese 3
Pineto 4
Sassari Torres 3
US Tolentino 4
Mezzolara 2
A.C. Savoia 0
Citta di Fasano 1
AS Acireale 0
Foggia 3
Quarter-finals
Folgore Caratese 2
Union Feltre 1
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Sanremese 2
Pineto 1
US Tolentino 2
Citta di Fasano 2
Foggia 1
Semi-finals
Folgore Caratese 6
Sanremese 0
US Tolentino 1
Citta di Fasano 5
Final
Folgore Caratese -
Citta di Fasano -