Sport Picks

Liberia

LFA First Division 2024/2025

Watanga

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Invincible Eleven play Watanga in the LFA First Division 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Invincible Eleven averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Watanga averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. In past meetings, Invincible Eleven won 0, Watanga won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 8, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Invincible Eleven and 1.11 for Watanga. This points to a Watanga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Invincible Eleven

35%

Draws

44%

Watanga

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Watanga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Invincible Eleven picked up more points recently compared to Watanga.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Invincible Eleven Clean Sheet 21%

Watanga Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Invincible Eleven	Watanga
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	7	18
Draws	10	11
Losses	13	3
Goals Scored	1.2	1.41
Goals Conceded	1.77	0.69

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2025 LFA First Division

Invincible Eleven vs Watanga

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 4 - 0

0:2

Dec 11, 2024 LFA First Division

Watanga vs Invincible Eleven

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Jan 28, 2024 LFA First Division

Invincible Eleven vs Watanga

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Dec 3, 2023 LFA First Division

Watanga vs Invincible Eleven

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 0 - 4

3:1

Mar 26, 2023 LFA First Division

Watanga vs Invincible Eleven

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

6:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Invincible Eleven 23 / 100

Watanga 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Invincible Eleven Watanga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Watanga or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +61.5%

7.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Invincible Eleven attacking → ← attacking Watanga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Invincible Eleven scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Watanga let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Invincible Eleven went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Watanga lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 65

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Fassell	26	17	5	4	57:21	56
2	Heaven Eleven	26	13	6	7	47:26	45
3	Watanga	26	10	10	6	33:24	40
4	Discoveries	26	11	6	9	47:38	39
5	BEA Mountain	26	10	7	9	50:45	37
6	Global Pharma	26	11	3	12	40:47	36
7	LPRC Oiler	26	9	8	9	31:30	35
8	Paynesville	26	10	5	11	33:40	35
9	Black Man Warrior	26	8	9	9	36:38	33
10	Liberia Registry	26	9	5	12	42:44	32
11	Freeport	26	8	7	11	37:51	31
12	Mighty Barrolle	26	8	5	13	38:65	29
13	Shaita	26	6	9	11	40:47	27
14	Invincible Eleven	26	5	9	12	29:44	24