Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ipatinga vs EC Itauna

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2009
Ipatinga Logo

Ipatinga

3 - 2
FT
EC Itauna Logo

EC Itauna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2009 game between Ipatinga and EC Itauna finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ipatinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ipatinga
20%
Draws
40%
EC Itauna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ipatinga come out ahead of EC Itauna on wins alone.
  • EC Itauna are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ipatinga Clean Sheet 20%
EC Itauna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipatinga EC Itauna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2009 Mineiro 2
Ipatinga vs EC Itauna
3:2
Mar 1, 2009 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Ipatinga
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipatinga 16 / 100
EC Itauna 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipatinga EC Itauna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Itauna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Itauna has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: EC Itauna has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ipatinga scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Ipatinga VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipatinga

(Home)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
04 Jul
Democrata SL
5 : 0
Ipatinga
01 Jul
Ipatinga
1 : 4
Aymores
27 Jun
Villa Nova AC
6 : 0
Ipatinga
23 Jun
Valeriodoce
1 : 1
Ipatinga
Page 1 of 6

EC Itauna

(Away)
20 Mar
EC Itauna
2 : 2
Tombense
16 Mar
Nacional MG
7 : 3
EC Itauna
13 Mar
Formiga EC
3 : 1
EC Itauna
11 Mar
EC Itauna
3 : 1
Tricordiano
05 Mar
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
EC Itauna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 22 13 4 5 43:31 43
2 Caldense 22 12 7 3 43:19 43
3 America TO 22 12 3 7 40:30 39
4 Funorte EC 22 8 7 7 39:33 31
5 Formiga EC 22 9 3 10 25:28 30
6 Araxa 22 7 9 6 30:31 30
7 Valeriodoce 22 8 5 9 28:29 29
8 URT 22 7 5 10 23:37 26
9 Pocos de Caldas 22 6 7 9 28:34 25
10 EC Itauna 22 5 10 7 26:29 25
11 Democrata SL 22 6 4 12 29:36 22
12 Ideal FC 22 4 6 12 24:41 18
Promotion - Campeonato Mineiro 2010 (Main)