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Ipatinga vs Villa Nova AC

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Wesley
38'
Wallace

AI Match Summary

Villa Nova AC in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Nova AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ipatinga
20%
Draws
57%
Villa Nova AC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villa Nova AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ipatinga haven't matched Villa Nova AC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Villa Nova AC a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Villa Nova AC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ipatinga Clean Sheet 10%
Villa Nova AC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipatinga Villa Nova AC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.72 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga
6:0
Jun 17, 2026 Mineiro 2
Ipatinga vs Villa Nova AC
0:1
Feb 8, 2024 Mineiro
Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga
3:3
Feb 22, 2023 Mineiro
Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga
3:2
Aug 11, 2021 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipatinga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Villa Nova AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipatinga 10 / 100
Villa Nova AC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipatinga Villa Nova AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Nova AC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Villa Nova AC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ipatinga scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Ipatinga remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ipatinga VS Villa Nova AC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipatinga

(Home)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
04 Jul
Democrata SL
5 : 0
Ipatinga
01 Jul
Ipatinga
1 : 4
Aymores
27 Jun
Villa Nova AC
6 : 0
Ipatinga
23 Jun
Valeriodoce
1 : 1
Ipatinga
Page 1 of 6

Villa Nova AC

(Away)
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3
Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1
Democrata SL
08 Aug
Aymores
3 : 3
Villa Nova AC
02 Aug
Villa Nova AC
1 : 0
Aymores
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1
Villa Nova AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)