Sport Picks

Brazil

Baiano 2 2012

Botafogo BA

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ipitanga play Botafogo BA in the Baiano 2 2012. Botafogo BA are favorites here. Recently, Ipitanga averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Botafogo BA averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. In past meetings, Ipitanga won 0, Botafogo BA won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 16, 2012 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Ipitanga and 1.55 for Botafogo BA. This points to a Botafogo BA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Ipitanga

15%

Draws

72%

Botafogo BA

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botafogo BA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ipitanga picked up more points recently compared to Botafogo BA.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.55 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Ipitanga Clean Sheet 15%

Botafogo BA Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ipitanga	Botafogo BA
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	3	14
Draws	3	6
Losses	24	12
Goals Scored	0.8	1.44
Goals Conceded	2.8	1.44

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2012 Baiano 2

Ipitanga vs Botafogo BA

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

0:3

May 19, 2012 Baiano 2

Botafogo BA vs Ipitanga

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipitanga 15 / 100

Botafogo BA 67 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ipitanga Botafogo BA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo BA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Botafogo BA & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +160%

20.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ipitanga attacking → ← attacking Botafogo BA

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipitanga scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Botafogo BA let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Ipitanga went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Botafogo BA lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 48

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	EC Ypiranga	8	6	1	1	19:7	19
2	Botafogo BA	8	4	3	1	15:7	15
3	Galicia	8	3	4	1	15:9	13
4	Ipitanga	8	1	1	6	10:24	4
5	Cruzeiro Cruz das Almas	8	0	3	5	4:16	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	8	6	2	0	11:4	20
2	Jacuipense	8	4	3	1	10:5	15
3	AD Astro	8	3	3	2	7:4	12
4	Jequie	8	2	2	4	7:14	8
5	Guanambi AC	8	0	0	8	0:8	0