Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ipitanga vs Camacari

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ipitanga play Camacari in the Baiano 2 2013. Camacari are favorites here. Recently, Ipitanga averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Camacari averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. In past meetings, Ipitanga won 1, Camacari won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 29, 2013 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.40 for Ipitanga and 2.56 for Camacari. This points to a Camacari double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Ipitanga
15%
Draws
60%
Camacari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Camacari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Ipitanga picked up more points recently compared to Camacari.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.40 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Ipitanga Clean Sheet 10%
Camacari Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipitanga Camacari
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 24 21
Goals Scored 0.8 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.8 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.17 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2013 Baiano 2
Camacari vs Ipitanga
3:0
May 18, 2013 Baiano 2
Ipitanga vs Camacari
1:2
Mar 25, 2009 Baiano
Ipitanga vs Camacari
1:1
Feb 4, 2009 Baiano
Camacari vs Ipitanga
1:0
Mar 23, 2008 Baiano
Camacari vs Ipitanga
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipitanga 25 / 100
Camacari 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipitanga Camacari

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Camacari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Camacari & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ipitanga attacking → ← attacking Camacari

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipitanga scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Camacari let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ipitanga went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Camacari lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 21
0.17 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
4.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Galicia841310:913
2Catuense84139:813
3Camacari841310:1213
4EC Ypiranga832313:711
5Ipitanga82157:137
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itabuna850311:515
2CE Flamengo842213:914
3Colo Colo841311:813
4Jequie82339:139
5AD Astro81255:145