Sport Picks

Brazil

Baiano 2 2014

Colo Colo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ipitanga play Colo Colo in the Baiano 2 2014. Colo Colo are favorites here. Recently, Ipitanga averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Colo Colo averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Ipitanga won 1, Colo Colo won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 7, 2014 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Ipitanga and 1.18 for Colo Colo. This points to a Colo Colo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Ipitanga

15%

Draws

66%

Colo Colo

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colo Colo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Ipitanga picked up more points recently compared to Colo Colo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Ipitanga Clean Sheet 20%

Colo Colo Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ipitanga	Colo Colo
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	3	9
Draws	3	10
Losses	24	12
Goals Scored	0.8	0.97
Goals Conceded	2.8	1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2014 Baiano 2

Ipitanga vs Colo Colo

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

0:5

Feb 27, 2011 Baiano

Ipitanga vs Colo Colo

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Jan 30, 2011 Baiano

Colo Colo vs Ipitanga

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Apr 7, 2010 Baiano

Ipitanga vs Colo Colo

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Mar 14, 2010 Baiano

Colo Colo vs Ipitanga

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipitanga 21 / 100

Colo Colo 63 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ipitanga Colo Colo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colo Colo Win (2)

Secondary Pick Colo Colo & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +72.7%

9.09

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ipitanga attacking → ← attacking Colo Colo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipitanga scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Colo Colo let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ipitanga went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Colo Colo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 37

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	9	7	2	0	19:1	23
2	Jacobina	9	6	2	1	15:4	20
3	CE Flamengo	9	6	2	1	22:12	20
4	Alagoinhas	9	5	1	3	18:12	16
5	Itabuna	9	4	0	5	13:11	12
6	Fluminense de Feira	9	3	3	3	8:10	12
7	EC Ypiranga	9	3	2	4	14:12	11
8	Jequie	9	3	2	4	12:13	11
9	Leonico	9	0	1	8	7:22	1
10	Ipitanga	9	0	1	8	4:35	1