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Ipitanga vs EC Ypiranga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ipitanga play EC Ypiranga in the Baiano 2 2012. EC Ypiranga are favorites here. Recently, Ipitanga averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. EC Ypiranga averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Ipitanga won 1, EC Ypiranga won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 13, 2014 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Ipitanga and 0.80 for EC Ypiranga. This points to a EC Ypiranga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Ipitanga
17%
Draws
64%
EC Ypiranga
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: EC Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ipitanga picked up more points recently compared to EC Ypiranga.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Ipitanga Clean Sheet 26%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipitanga EC Ypiranga
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 0.8 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2014 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Ipitanga
6:0
May 25, 2013 Baiano 2
Ipitanga vs EC Ypiranga
3:1
Apr 27, 2013 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Ipitanga
0:0
Jun 2, 2012 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Ipitanga
3:2
May 1, 2012 Baiano 2
Ipitanga vs EC Ypiranga
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipitanga 22 / 100
EC Ypiranga 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipitanga EC Ypiranga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Ypiranga Win (2)
Secondary Pick EC Ypiranga & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ipitanga attacking → ← attacking EC Ypiranga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipitanga scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

EC Ypiranga let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Ipitanga went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

EC Ypiranga lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 40
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1EC Ypiranga861119:719
2Botafogo BA843115:715
3Galicia834115:913
4Ipitanga811610:244
5Cruzeiro Cruz das Almas80354:163
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo862011:420
2Jacuipense843110:515
3AD Astro83327:412
4Jequie82247:148
5Guanambi AC80080:80